Month expected to be cool and soggy

Picture: TERRY WEST

FREE Times photographer and weather commentator TERRY WEST gives his predictions for October.

SEPTEMBER saw some heavy rain and it looks like October may have a similar pattern.
There were 13 rain days during September and a total of 71.5mm was recorded in the official Warwick rain gauge.
This is more than twice the average rainfall and is an indicator of a wet season ahead.
There is potential for light rain on Thursday 13 October then it should stay dry for a few days until 16 and 17 October when medium rain is forecast.
Heavy rain is forecast for 21 October and then it is expected to rain every day intil 28 October.
No flood rain is forecast for the next month so it will give farmers a chance to get on the land and start working it for a good summer season.
October days are likely to be cooler than average with daytime temperatures staying average but nights will stay cool.
This is consistent with the warmer than average temperatures in the northern waters surrounding Australia and a negative Indian Ocean dipole.
The Pacific Ocean is also starting to show some La Nina characteristics and this may lead to heavier rain later in the year.
Lake Leslie has risen in the past month with the dam now sitting at 31.2 per cent with 33,173 megalitres of water in storage. Connolly Dam is full.
In summary, it should be a cooler than average month with about nine to 10 rain days expected.
Otherwise it should see blue skies and nice spring weather.